Iran Agreement is A Gigantic Error


[Risk to Humanity]

 

Russian President Vladimir Putin (R) meets with Iran's President Hassan Rouhani in Ufa, Russia, July 9, 2015. Rouhani said on Thursday he was grateful to Russia for its efforts to secure an agreement at talks between six major powers and Iran on Tehran's nuclear program.  REUTERS/Alexander Nemenov/Pool
Russian President Vladimir Putin (R) meets with Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani in Ufa, Russia, July 9, 2015. Rouhani said on Thursday he was grateful to Russia for its efforts to secure an agreement at talks between six major powers and Iran on Tehran’s nuclear program. REUTERS/Alexander Nemenov/Pool

russsian missles

 The Islam State of Iran is a rogue state that should have been crushed long ago.  It is a festering pit of religious prejudice intent to replicate the Islamic strife of the seventh century upon anyone or any nation that will not comply with the dictates of Sharia.

A coup in the country saw peace, order and good government usurped in the late 1970 by a gang of religious fanatics and hoodlums. They installed a caliphate.  In the case of Iran, its chosen caliph was an Iranian expatriate who had been hiding in France. 

For all worthy and religious virtues attributed to the Profit Mohamed, those chosen to caliphs are expected to represent the “Prophet’s’” godliness.  Any research into the individual installed as Iran’s political and religious leader ( Ruhollah Khomeini :AKA the “Ayatollah”) easily depict an individual better compared to a red-neck southern USA evangelic Christian leader than anything worthy of being a worthy successor to the Prophet, Mohamed.

The “Ayatollah’s years in exile in France were a result of his single handed opposition to the then monarch of Iran, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi’s (the Shah’s) intention to bring about a bit of modernization to archaic Sharia dogma that smoldered like waste from a chamber pot in the Iran of the 1960’s.  The Ayatollah’s complaints focused on the Shah’s attempts to bring his nation into the modern century.  The Shah’s “White Revolution”, aimed to break up landholdings owned by some Shi’a clergy, allow women to vote and religious minorities to hold office, and grant women legal equality in marital issues.  Those reforms apparently upset the Ayatollah who collected a small group of radicals and created a short-lived internal revolt in Iran.  The revolt failed and the Ayatollah packed his bags and scurried off to France – a nation that, by way of its own revolution in the late 18th century was founded on the exact values that the Ayatollah objected to in Iran – Liberté, égalité, fraternité. 

For his part, Reza Pahlavi’s (the Shah’s) reign in Iran was far from gentle of benign.  His particular regime was a strong-arm regime and employed its secret police, the SAVAK to deal quickly and harshly with opposition.  Given what transpired inside of Iran after the Shah in 1977, perhaps many of SAVAK’s tactics are understandable.

Emergence of the Anti-USA state of Iran

The former Shah of Iran was known to be pro-USA and his country’s relationship with America was one of great strategic value to the USA.  Iran was/is situated as a significant buffer zone between the Soviet Union (now Russia) and the oil-rich Persian Gulf.

Soviet aligned India at the time in addition to the fact that Iran’s next-door neighbor, Iraq‘s army and air forces were exclusively Soviet supplied saw the USA pay a great deal of strategic attention to Iran and the Shah.

On the other hand, the Ayatollah and other failed revolutionaries hiding in places such as France found a great friend and supporter in the form of the Soviet Union.  Much of the Ayatolah’s living costs while in France were supplied from Moscow via the KGB.  The Soviet interest and desire was to dislodge the USA grip on Iran by undermining the Shah’s authority.  Vast amounts of anti-American propaganda flowed back into Iran from the exiles.  The benefactor was the Soviet Union and its KGB ( the “Komitet gosudarstvennoy bezopasnosti “ – secret police).  Ironically, the man in charge of the KGB in Europe,  Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin “Putin” would emerge as the ultimate leader in Russia several years later.

The Embargo

By 2002, free world intelligence revealed that the Ayatolah’s regime in the Islamic State of Iran has been clandestinely assembling the capacity to construct a nuclear arsenal.  Fly-over’s by military surveillance confirmed the existence of certain sites inside of Iran where nuclear activity was intense.  Under Russian leader Yeltsin, a flow of nuclear technology and missile capacity from Moscow to Tehran was well known.

Finally, when one of the Ayatollah’s confidant’s made a pronouncement at Friday prayers in a Mosque in Tehran (November 2014) that the intention of the intense and rapid nuclear and missile activity inside Iran had sinister objectives; the western world reacted with strong economic sanction against Iran.

The purposes enunciated at the Friday prayers in 2014 by Movahedi-Kermani, a close associate to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, were that with Iran’s existing (Russian made) Sejil ballistic missile could  hit and raze to the ground any place in Israel, as well as any American base in the region.   The mob present inside the huge mosque chanted, “Death to America, Death to Israel”.

Collectively, the six global powers (United States, Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia) reacted by employing severe trade sanctions against Iran in hopes that a second rogue state with nuclear capacity similar to North Korea would not emerge.

The Iranian position on what it was attempting has been shown to unrelenting and intimidating.    Mohammad Hassan Asafari and the Iranian, chairman, Alaeddin Boroujerdi, the chairman,   members of the Iranian parliament’s National Security and Policy Commission, warned that “Iran will expedite its nuclear program unless sanctions are removed.”

Thus, the stage was set for the recent negotiations.

Why the Agreement is a Failure and High Risk

  • The treaty failed to halt the development of a nuclear arsenal in Iran. Moreover, the concessions made to Iran showed weakness and lack of resolve. The agreement permits some sort of inspection of nuclear activity in Iran. However, such inspections may only take place with 24 DAYS advance notification.
  • The existing reinforced concrete weapons bunker was not removed. Instead, those negotiating the agreement saw fit to simply rename the bunker as a scientific site. No peaceful nuclear facility anyplace exists in a fortified underground bunker.
  • The agreement failed to provide certainty that Iran would not pursue the production of nuclear weapons in the future. Instead, it simply postponed such development in the future. Sections of the agreement indicate a hiatus of periods of about five years before Iran could undertake full scale weapon manufacture. Given the statements of Asafari, Boroujerdi and Movahedi-Kermani as use of any potential future weaponry, existing sanctions should never have been lifted. Gauging from the angry and indignant reactions from Iran’s caliphate and parliament, the six month old sanctions were highly effective.
  • The latest agreement called for a continuation of the embargo on shipment of conventional weapons for at least 8 years. However, with a few hours of the agreement being signed, Russia announced that to supply Tehran with Antey-2500 missiles immediately. These ballistic weapons were envisaged in the new agreement to not be imported by Iran for at least 8 years. Apparently even that brief 8 year delay is now unacceptable to Tehran.  Worse yet, are Russian statements about discussions between Russia and Iran many more weapons. Iran needs $11 billion to $13 billion in Russian arms according to Russia newspapers (TASS).  It is curious that the first Russian weapons to flow into Iran only hours after the Agreements was signed would be the Antey-2500 systems.  These weapons would effectively seal off Iranian air space from such intelligence surveillance as initially detected the initial Iranian nuclear weapons development by the Israelis two years ago.  History may yet prove that a grave tactical error was made by Obama when he convinced Israel not to destroy the newly detected arsenal when it was first detected.
  • I similarly have serious problems with leadership shown by Iran to such radical factions as Al-Qaeda, ISIS (the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria) and the Muslim Brotherhood in places such as Egypt. It is not a state secret that Iran is the largest supplier of small arms and artillery weapons to these other jihad groups. No guarantees were obtained from Iran that this practice would not continue. Moreover, these radical Islamic movements can now find great encouragement that Iran, by way of threat has been able to prevail over the world’s six super powers.

Upon reflection, the first inclination of the Israeli forces may turn out to be the only realistic tactic in dealing with Iran.  Eventually it will be necessary to take the head off the snake.  By way of this absolutely terrible agreement, the tools may now escalate into a full scale ballistic strike upon the Islam State of Iran. History shows, by way of the extremely devastating effect of strategic weapon strikes at Hiroshima and Nagasaki (Japan) in 1945; another regime of tyranny was halted.  My sense is that this latest agreement with Iran has moved the world closer to such inevitability.

The Canadian Perspective

The New Democratic Party (the NDP’s) would strip away whatever humble protection that Canada still has by way of its armed forces.   Doing such a thing, knowing that the military provides not only strategic support for global defense against terrorism as well as enormous intelligence resources is beneath contempt and verges on pure stupidity.  Even more idiotic were the recent foot-into-mouth mutterings of Justin Trudeau who recently stated that it was his goal to become friends with the regime in Iran.  Those moronic words only further proved that Justin Trudeau is what he is – an idiot who fails to think before he speaks

Let’s hope that Canadian voters refuse to drink the Kool-Aid being served up by Barak Obama, John Kerry, Tom Mulcair and Justin Trudeau. The world has just taken a dangerous move backwards in the past few days and Canada needs leadership, not philosophers.

cropped-lloyd.jpgCopyright   Thunderbird Rising 2015

 The above article is copyrighted.  You may use, copy or distribute this article conditional on attributing your source (Thunderbird Rising) and the author (Lloyd Fournier)

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